7 Day Win Streak Ends 😥
The WHOP finished -0.39u today, officially ending a 7-day win streak. That was obviously and inevitably unsustainable, but so fun while it goes. Also true, every day of that streak cashed more than today’s loss, so we’re still firmly in heater territory. The goal remains the same: stay sharp, trust the edge, close ahead of the market, and keep climbing.
The Advantage Show w/ Mike (@FiddlesPicks) is back LIVE on Monday at 10 AM EST to break down Game 1 spreads, totals, props, and angles you don’t want to miss. He’ll also dive into Tuesday’s WNBA slate with early reads and edges. Tune in — we’ll see you there!
For now, take Pacers @ Thunder Over 230.5 (BetRivers, -109)
The WHOP took this at 229.5, but still like it small at 0.5u.
These are two of the NBA’s top 3 fastest-paced teams this season. Chet Holmgren wasn’t able to play in both head-to-head matchups, but despite that the totals went over at close (234, 243 in regulation), and the Thunder covered the spread in both as well (2-0).
OKC has owned the paint in the playoffs, getting a massive advantage in Paint Points and edges in Offensive Rebounds and 2nd Chance Points. Meanwhile, Indiana’s been lethal yet efficient from deep (40.1% on fewer attempts).
I’ll be eyeing Haliburton overs in turnovers and assist unders, as OKC has been elite at disrupting offenses. They’re forcing a playoff-best 18 turnovers per game — 3 more than second-place Golden State — and lead all teams in steals per game (10), consistently jumping passing lanes.
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