A Bag of NBA Playoff Bets
And new podcast links!
Very solid night with the Bulls -3 and over covering with ease, and the 76ers probably should have gotten a lucky cover until a terrible call on a batum inbound technical foul gave Miami and extra free throw and a 3 no one cared about. Overall now slightly positive during the NBA Play In tournament, with one more bet to go.
Before we drop the NBA Playoff bets so far, tonight I recorded a podcast with Drew Johnson (@RantingJohnson) and Mike Levy (@MPL1184). I need to come up with a name for the 3 of us thats easy to coin, because these two other pro gamblers will join me throughout the NBA playoffs.
On this episode we opened with a 10 minute discussion on the Jontay Porter lifetime ban. There are so many other shows covering the logistics and fallout of all the details, we skipped that - and just gave some opinions we felt were not being broadly discussed. We then discussed Pels/Kings, Cavs/Magic, Bucks/Pacers, and gave some reads on what where we are looking for action and player props to target. We talked about why there are not many very strong market positions to grab, and included some strategies for live betting.
NFL Draft Best Bet
Jayden Daniels 2nd Pick (-300, Fanduel). I did a write up for this on Action that is going up tomorrow. I will share the link, but I have a feeling this moves by tomorrow afternoon even more and encourage you to bet it now if NFL Draft betting is available in your state.
NBA Playoff Player Prop Averages available at BetMGM
Josh Giddey Under 12.3 Points (-120, 1u)
Josh Giddey Under 6.4 Rebounds (-110, 1u)
Tyrese Haliburton Ov 3.9 Rebounds (-110, 1u)
Nikola Jokic Ov 12.4 Rebounds (-110, 1u)
Nikola Jokic Ov 26.4 Points (-130, 1u)
Paolo Banchero Un 22.6 Points (-110, 0.5u)
Kevin Durant Ov 6.6 Rebounds (0.25u)
*I know Jokic’s popped up to 29 now at -110 juice. I’d skip that, the others feel very playable
NBA Playoff Best Bets- some of these were already sent out, but here is all bets as of now for the upcoming games.
Bulls @ Heat Under 209.5 (1u)
Magic @ Cavs Un 207.5 (0.75u)
Clippers Mavs Un 226 (0.75u)
76ers +3 (0.5u)
76ers +128 ML (0.5u)
I hedged any loss off my Suns title tickets with Wolves series price, but no bets for game 1- Go suns, id love to lose my hedge and keep my upside lol.
I am likely to make a move on Bucks +1 but I have not yet. If Giannis is ruled out, I have a way to indirectly work off via a Pacers player prop over.
Looking at small Nuggets play under FRF system, may get a better line by waiting. There are a bunch of 7s, there is no rush on this one.