Every Bet Placed for The NBA Play In/Playoffs Thus far
The NBA Regular Season has ended and we now proceed to a week of the NBA Play In Tournament. On Tuesday night we have the 7-8 Matchup with Hawks @ Magic in the East and Grizzlies @ Warriors in the West. I actually have no bets placed for any of those games, based on current prices and market signals I would say Magic ATS if anything. It’s a well priced 2 game slate. I have action on both Wednesday games, will look to add for Friday, and already placed a series bet and some Game 1 wagers for Saturday. Here is every bet placed and given out in the Whop chat (linked below) for where we stand currently.
NBA Play-in: SAC Kings -4.5 (0.75 units, DraftKings)
This is a numbers-driven play with both teams dealing with injuries. The Kings are without Monk, but the Mavs are even thinner, relying on Dinwiddie to fill their guard void. Sacramento still has the offensive firepower and star edge to cover at home.
NBA Play-in: Heat @ Bulls Under 223.5 (0.5 units, DraftKings)
Took this early on a market read with sharp movement pointing under—now down to 219 at some books.
Spoelstra's Heat thrive in playoff-style games that slow the pace, limit possessions, and squeeze efficiency.
This sets up as a classic grind-it-out under spot. I think its a stretch to still play this, but think Miami ATS could be the other angle and approach here, in a correlated approach.
Game 1: LA Clippers @ Nuggets Over 223 (1 unit, DraftKings)
Line is moving up with 225s and 225.5s now on the board—early value locked in. I think still playable for half unit.
Kawhi Leonard likely boosts offensive potential, and both teams enter well-rested and ready to score off the bat.
Expect a lot of shot-making early in a high-powered opener.
Series Bet: LA Clippers to Win Round 1 vs Denver (1 unit, DraftKings)
Gave this out at Buckets (+160) and dropped to +145 within a few minutes—Clippers are surging and built to match Denver at any position.
Ty Lue and Jeff Van Gundy bring the coaching edge, while the Nuggets navigate their defensive identity under a new head coach.
Clippers have the depth, versatility, and momentum.
Coach Malone, Home Alone, Sylvester Stallone, Clippers in 5?
Game 1: Bucks @ Pacers Under 226 (0.75 units, DraftKings)
Dropping to 225.5 across the board—still playable.
Our model points at the over, but it overweights Lillard’s full-season impact and early-season Pacers home and away splits, and does not consider a playoff environment.
Both defenses are much improved and well-equipped to disrupt each other's strengths—it's a classic "be comfortable in playing uncomfortably."
Game 1: Wolves @ LA Lakers Over 218.5 (0.5 units, DraftKings)
Going against the market here, but both offenses are red-hot, especially from deep.
Lakers tend to mirror opponents' pace, and this version of the Wolves with Anthony Davis on the floor ranks 12th in pace.
Small play on the over with both teams likely to trade buckets early. Would play at any current number available.
Game 1: NY Knicks -6.5 (0.75 units, BetMGM)
Still available at -115, and worth a play with MSG bringing a real playoff atmosphere.
This will be Cade’s first taste of that environment, and the Knicks hold the edge in nearly every metric.
Mitchell Robinson’s presence helps NY control the paint and manage Towns’ minutes better.
A lot of the numbers above have moved! Hopefully it helps to know the directions I bet and I also made sure to note if things were still playable in the write ups. If you want access to all the picks in real time join the whop picks chat linked here.
The cost is $100/month. HOWEVER, there is an offer for 2 free weeks added simply for leaving a review on the store page, AND you will receive an account credit for an entirely free month if we ever do have a losing month. It is as “risk-free” as any package in the sports betting space. The consistency in beating the closing line should lead to consistent results on solid volume. There was 1 losing month this NBA season in November, December was free for all, and the regular season netted over +55units.