First Bets of Week 7

Quick content update for this week! There will be no NFL Week 7 podcasts for Gambling or DFS. I am traveling for my brothers wedding(!!), and unable to get those done in real time with odds and prices. I was able to pre record a NBA Preview show with Austen Vernon. Go check out the podcast feed and listen to our NBA Starting 5: Five things we are each looking for/forward to at the start of the season.

I still plan to send a Sunday morning email with graphics of the full betting card and a DFS Core 4.

Here are the few Best Bets for Week 7 so far:

Saints +1.5 (1.75u)
Saints/Jaguars Ov 42.5 (0.5u)
I bet the Saints in a look ahead before Week 6 started and again right at repost for Week 7. This situational spot seems like perhaps the biggest scheduling trap of the entire NFL season for the Jaguars. They just played back to back games in London, then traveled home for one game, and then go back on the road for a short week Thursday game in the New Orleans Mercedes Benz Superdome. When capping with schedules, you always look for the first game back for a team or the next road game. I did not bet against the Jaguars last week, but the Colts were the clear sharp side. Only so long the Jags cant keep going against the sharp angle and winning, and I think it ends here. This is a brutal travel spot, Lawrence is banged up, its a strong home field with a team coming off a loss and still projected to win their division. Tough tough game for the Jags.

I bet the over because my expectation was the Jags Defense is the unit that looks the flattest compared to expectations, and early betting splits suggested this to be the right side, but the doubtful nature of Lawrence’s injury and impending possibility of a backup QB playing on a short week road game, the total dipped and I no longer recommend betting it. You can still play the spread!

Falcons +8.5/Bills -2.5 Teaser (-120, 0.75u)
Two wong teaser legs with two of my favorite teams to back. The Bills have a get right in division game against New England, and not only do the Pats look to be an all time worst version of themselves, the Bills have notoriously dominated this Pats team. The Falcons also play in division which tends to lead to tighter games and more familiarity. So moving through key numbers and getting wong legs with teams I like to back, sign me up.

Miami Dolphins +8.5/Broncos +7.5 Teaser (-120, 0.75u)
Miami Dolphins +2.5 (0.5u)
I was very confused on how I wanted to attack this game, but I knew I wanted Miami exposure. The Dolphins strength matches up with the Eagles weakness, i.e. the pass game for the fins will beat up on the Eagles weak secondary. Miami is taking clear money early, the line is dropping everywhere. I of course wanted the +3 hook, but at all books I was being charged way to much to obtain the number. I wanted to then skip it and play a ML, but the numbers I was giving up in a +2.5 (-110) vs. a +116 ML was not worth it either, so I played it as a standard +2.5 for a small bet even though the number is meh, and I stuck the +2.5 in a teaser since its a Wong leg and included the Broncos, who were also getting sharp steam.

One of my teasers is a divisional target teaser, this is a sharp line movement teaser!

*I will update this post if I add any bets (but considering my travel schedule I would say its unlikely right now).

Do me a solid and please share my SubStack with a friend who likes sports gambling!!!