I’m cutting the fluff because there is so much stuff. This email is a loaded with Round 3 /May Stats, updates to the upcoming content schedule, and my first few NBA Finals plays.
But very quick, SHEEESH LUKA IS STONE COLD IN CLOSEOUT GAMES 🥶🥶🥶
Stats and Reflections:
Round 3 : -1.365u
May: +7.415u
Full Season: +98.725u
I consider this May a slightly above average month. My overall winning pace sustained while the volume of games dropped, so my success rate took a small spike. Round two was dominant, round 3 was ultimately just short and reflective of a small sample size. I had Wolves -4 for 1.15units tonight which accounts for a majority of the swing in the results, while only other two other positions all round were over 1unit. This market is sharp, so I generally taper down exposure, until I saw some of these Charmin Ulta Soft NBA Finals lines!
Upcoming Podcast Schedule:
Friday 5/31: NBA Finals Betting Preview Podcast with Drew Johnson
Sunday 6/2: LIVE SHOW Hottest Topics in the NBA with AV (probably 6pm ET)
Tuesday 6/4: Offseason/Next Season Content Changes/Plans, just me.
Thursday 6/6 After G1: Game 2 NBA Best Bets with Mike Levy
NBA Finals Bets Submitted
I will review all of them on the NBA Finals Betting Preview Podcast dropping later today, but numbers move and I’ll get them out now if you want to tail
Celtics -5.5 (3u)
Celtics/Mavs Ov 212 (1u)
Kristaps Porzingis Ov 1.5 3PM (-135, 0.5u)
Jayson Tatum Finals MVP -115 DK (1.87u)
Luka Doncic Finals MVP +210 FD (1.13u)
*essentially a 17% ROI on best player wins MVP regardless of team winner at 3u risk.
I also have Celtics -130 NBA Title from Round 2 (1.95u to win 1.5u).
I am definitely a bit overexposed on Celtics things right now, so I will have to talk to Drew about how to rebalance some of the portfolio before G1.
Talk soon!!! Go Cs!