First NFL Future + More NBA Playoffs

NBA, NFL, and POD

A nice little Monday, 2-1, +0.35u. Despite not loving my card based on late line movement, I ended up positive so I am happy about it. It was almost a clean sweep because Lakers/Nuggets over would have easily cashed with overtime, but Jamal Murray hits another game winner with 3 seconds left! That shot was BALLER! Playoff Jamal is the NBA version of April showers bring May flowers, you know it’s coming when the lights are bright- and oh brother what a beautiful site.

Going into Tuesday I have some new NBA Best Bets, NFL Futures, podcast links and more! Let’s start at the top with tomorrow’s schedule so we stay organized.

🏀 NBA Best Bets Tuesday April 30th 🏀
Cavs -4 (0.5u)
Pacers -3.5 (-108, 1u)

I broke down these Best Bets on BUCKETS today. Here is the show link!

New NBA Bets Added! I tweeted these out last night and my bets are at DK for this game, but the lines are available elsewhere still if you missed that.

Dallas Mavericks -2.5 (1u)- PointsBet at ESPNBet at -110, everywhere else -112 or -115.
Mavs @ Clippers Un 209.5 (1u)- currently available at Bet365

I will break these down tomorrows episode of The Advantage Sports Betting Podcast, but we released a general NBA show last night!

Gibby, AV and I discussed the Hottest Topics Around the NBA and did a really fun reflection on the NBA Playoffs so far. We recorded before the Suns sweep happened, and included topics like:

🏀 Favorite Moment of the Playoffs
🏀 Best Individual Performance of R1
🏀 Biggest Impact Midseason Acquisition
🏀 Most important injury to a series
🏀 Craziest Statistic
and more!

🏈 NFL Coach of the Year Futures Best Bets 🏈
Shane Steichan 16:1 FD (0.5u)
Matt LaFluer 16:1 FD (0.5u)
Antonio Pierce 30:1 FD (0.25u)

These three candidates have the highest value on the board. I feel so confident saying that based on the handicapping approach I took here. Since we are in the middle of NBA Playoffs, I am not going to break down the approach to cap an NFL Future right now, I do not want to mix concepts together. We will break it down this offseason…

But football wise, they fit the description of coaches that are typical finalists for this award- recently new head coach, team projected to win 6-7 games that ends up winning 10-11, without a star QB to get the credit. Last year Stefanski won with the 4 starting QBs taking snaps for the Browns. Runners up were Dan Campbell of Lions and Demeco Ryans Texans- both also fit these criteria. The previous season, Brian Dabboll won with QB Daniel Jones and a Giants team that made the playoffs.

You do NOT have to win your division, classic misconception. Two of the last four Coach of the Year winners came in THIRD in their division that year.

Based on the strategies to handicap this, I was surprised to see these candidates be considered bad bets and bad value! I highly recommend staying away from these candidates, and I put them in order of “oh please dont do that” 😂😂😂

1. Mike MacDonald (SEA)
2. Jim Harbaugh (LAC)
3. Raheem Morris (ATL)
4. Demeco Ryans (HOU)

Last thought: LaFleur was the #1 value, surprisingly ZAC TAYLOR of the Bengals was #2, Pierce 3 and Steichan 4.

I am foregoing a ticket on Zac Taylor because he does have Joe Burrow who I would assume to be a lead candidate for Comeback Player of the Year/Possibly MVP Buzz/Possibly OPOY Ja’marr Chase. I know teams can scoop up multiple awards (Browns last year took 3), but it is unlikely and inversely correlated for betting purposes. Better off to choose your favorite angle/calculate each value and play it one direction.

Here are my bet slips! ⬇️