Game 5 and We're Tied 2-2
From us here at The Advantage, a Happy Father’s Day to all the amazing dads. Here is a good value (and hopefully winning) bet for Monday as a gift.
OKC Thunder Moneyline (-380, DraftKings, 1unit Risked)
I’m expecting this to close around -400 or higher across the board, so locking in solid value on the OKC moneyline while it’s still available. BetRivers also has -385, other books have this juiced to -450. Good price + Thunder emerging sharp side as they aim to get a 3-2 lead over the Pacers.
The Thunder closed -10/10.5 in Game 1 and -11.5 in Game 2 at home, with a spread in Game 5 at -9.5 and correlated MLs, this feels like the basement price for the OKC side. I also prefer to play the ML and not the spread because IND plays so smart when they are down. Besides the crazy comebacks, all of those were simple back door covers even without a game winning shot, and that stuff has not been random.
Besides the ML, Mike (@FiddlesPicks) is back LIVE tomorrow at 10AM EST with a loaded show—breaking down yesterday’s blockbuster trade, fresh angles for NBA Finals Game 5, and sharp early reads on the WNBA Commissioner’s Cup eliminations. Don’t miss the insights before the market catches up!
If you want to get all the picks in real-time in a locked text chat, use this Whop Picks button above to access the store page.
The cost is $100/month. HOWEVER, there is an offer for 2 weeks free added to your account simply for leaving a review on the store page, AND you will receive an account credit for an entirely free month if we ever have a losing month. It is as “risk-free” as any package in the sports betting space. The consistency in beating the closing line should lead to consistent results on solid volume.
*This newsletter post was authored by Ian Toria