Get Down On It is playing in Brooklyn
This might sound cynical, but one of my favorite things in sports betting is taking a good number AGAINST a team I really like.
It’s not at all an "emotional hedge” situation. It’s value gained above all else.
The team I’m loving right now: The Phoenix Mercury. The bet I placed; Liberty -5.5 & Liberty/Mercury Ov 169.5 (both -110 at Caesars right now).
It’s Friday night at the Barclays Center, “Get Down On It” is playing, Jonquel Jones is dancing as she warms up, Kaleah Copper remains rusty and on a minutes restriction, and most of all the spread closes -6 or better.
Six is the second most common WNBA outcome over the last 3 seasons, it is valuable to grab the -5.5 on any WNBA line that closes at 6. So it goes back to the basics, I don’t care who is playing, I just want to beat the closing line. Our model shows NY Liberty to be -6.4 and the total to be 169.9, and market trends towards PHX overs have been noticeable lately. I played both for 0.5units.
