Another sweep, 2-0 last night +2.5u. The domination continues. I should probably hide my crystal ball before the authorities show up and my doorstep…
🏀 NBA Best Bets Friday January 12th 🏀
Kings/76ers Ov 239.5 (5u)
I posted a picture of the line at PointsBet and pointed out how soft this line was. There was already 241.5s on the board, and PointsBet just left up a 239.5. We have seen the 76ers play 5 out basketball without Embiid, who is confirmed out again. The Kings will only be missing Huerter who has struggled with his shot and is actually an underrated defender and able to switch. I expect this total to climb quite a bit, maybe 3-4 or more points. I played it big and will likely play it back for about half of this. Currently the best number is 241.5 at Caesars, still playable for 1u and let it ride.
Miami Heat -3 (0.75u)
This spot is worth small action on the Miami side. Both of these teams are depleted with injuries piling up. The Heat are expected to be down Butler, Lowry, Martin, and maybe even Tyler Herro! The Magic will be without Franz Wagner, Wendell Carter Jr, Jonathen Isaac and Gary Harris- all of whom are confirmed out. The injury cost feels net neutral, and the remaining advantages favor the Heat. Miami maintains depth, home court, a coaching advantage, superior shooting and situationally are coming off of a home loss. I expect the Florida face off to favor the Heat.