Now that the holidays are over we've moved into the meaty part of the NBA season. This is the time where contenders are supposed to start solidifying themselves while the bottom-feeders dive even deeper trying to ensure those losses. For that reason we played a full unit OVER 218.5 on the Nets/Bucks tonight. The market clearly felt the Bucks were the side, but I wanted no part in laying -12.5 or more with them against a Brooklyn team that has been well-coached and covering spreads all season. However, with a spread that large, the over is going to be in play. Brooklyn also brought in D-Lo recently in place of Finney-Smith, which should also lead to a faster offense and a worse defense. We saw the line climb all the way to 224 prior to tip. If you played that number back, you hit a middle with the final score of BKN 113 to MIL 110. Great time to avoid the spread but grab the correlated total.
We also played a small Giannis Antetokoumpo Over 28.5 points prop, which didn’t cash because of this play. It’s easy to laugh off a small loss when overall it was another winning night. Sometimes simply the rim is the rim protector 😂.
We've got NINE NBA games to break down for you LIVE tomorrow at 10AM EST, where I will be joined by professional poker player Drew Johnson! We've got a few positions already given out last night in the WHOP chat, including one best bet of Wizards @ Pelicans Over 231. The Pelicans have been playing with vastly increased tempo the last couple of weeks now that they are no longer fielding a G-League roster, and the Wizards have the majority of their veterans back now as well. Those Wizards players who were out (Kuzma, Poole, Brogdan) all love to score and are not the greatest on defense. This line has already ballooned to 232.5 as of writing this and I expect it to go even higher. Yet another example of why being in the WHOP and getting these picks in real time is key. Play this to 233.5, but play it smaller as the line gets higher.
Make sure you join us LIVE @ 10AM EST for the show today on YouTube! We respond to live comments during the show so if you have any questions for us that's the place to get our attention quickest! If you can't make it for some reason, you can get all of our insights into tomorrow's 9 game slate via the YouTube recording of the show or wherever you get your podcasts!
If you are interested in getting all of my picks in real time in a locked text chat, use this Whop Picks button below to access the store page.
The cost is $100/month. HOWEVER, I offer $50 of that back in the first month simply for leaving a review, AND I give account credit for an entire free month if we ever do have a losing month. I try and make it as “risk-free” as any package in the sports betting space. I have a high degree of confidence in myself and historically the results speak for themselves!
*This newsletter post was authored by Drew Johnson