NBA Best Bets Saturday November 25th
Juicy Saturday Card w 2 Max plays/Buybacks brewing!
Tons of strong spots on this card, lets dive right in! Tomorrow will have an NFL email and I’ll put more fluff into it, but these lines are available now so grab them while they’re hot!
Brooklyn Nets -3.5 (4u)
This is a clear sharp spot where I plan a buyback. There are a few 3.5s and a few 4.5s on the board right now, and the splits on the 3.5 sites show very strong money on the Nets side. I am jumping in now for a large play, and I will play back hopefully a 5.5 or more come tip. I will be watching for the 4.5s to flip either direction. If they go to 4, find a remaining 4.5 and play it, if it goes to 5, wait to see just how far it goes.
Lakers/Cavaliers Ov 223.5 (3u)
Another strong movement and buyback spot in the works. Fanduel has this line at 223.5 while everywhere else is 225.5; and the big news hinges on Donovan Mitchells availability. He returned to practice Friday and recently was upgraded from Out to Questionable for Saturdays showdown with the king. Another situation where I watch the board, if 225.5 goes to 225, I snatch a 225.5, if the 223.5 goes up to 224, I wait to see how far it goes.
Pelicans +1 (0.75u)
76ers +1 (0.75u)
Both of these lines were -1 at every book, but +1 at BetRivers. So I jumped in for small plays. I know the +1 is not a very significant number to gain CLV because ties are impossible and 1 point games are the 11th most common outcome in NBA games, so there is not a strong middle opportunity. So I will let these tickets ride for standard exposure. I also liked both matchups; the pelicans are really playing well right now and the Thunder dont have a big to stop Embiid for the 76ers. As of this writing, the pels are smacking the clippers, so maybe the stars get the 4Q off and are well rested, even better!
Hawks -7.5 (0.5u)
Sharps are backing the hawks damn near every game. Scroll through my posts, youll see me riding the Hawks a lot because their opening line beats their closing line routinely. But this is also a fade Wizards spot, they stink. PointsBet had a 7.5 while the rest of the board was already at 8. I missed a bunch of key numbers, I’m in dangerous back door cover zone, the hawks are the away team, so for these reasons Ill play it small 0.5units. But this Hawks team already beat the WizKids by 9 this season, and have won every game against them in the Dejounte/Trae era, having swept last seasons series.