NBA Best Bets Thursday December 14th
And a Thursday Night Football Breakdown
We got NBA and NFL to cover in this email so let’s get right into it!
🏀 NBA Best Bets Thursday December 14th 🏀
Timberwolves +2.5 (0.75u BetMGM)
Timberwolves +110 ML (0.75u)
Anthony Edwards is back to practice and I think is trending towards playing. Meanwhile Kyrie is still dealing with the heel contusion, and while he hasn’t been ruled out there is no indication from beats he is trending towards playing. For that reason, this game has a fair degree of confidence that injury news breaks my way and I can play into it for a chance to crush the closing line. If Ant plays and Kyrie doesnt, the Wolves may become road favorites. They also have the perfect size and defensive versatility to give Luka some fits. I am splitting the ML and spread to play back some either pregame of live if I do have nice CLV.
Kings -1.5 (1u DraftKings)
Super clear sharp side emerging on the Kings. They got run over last game vs the Clippers on the second leg of a B2B, but now are back home and rested with all they key guys healthy. Look for a nice bounce back outing from one of the leagues top offenses.
🏈 NFL Week 15 Thursday Night Football Preview 🏈
I have no bets for this game (yet), but I know plenty of you will be watching for fantasy football playoffs, DFS Showdown Lineups, or possible betting action. So I will provide a brief overview of where the betting indicators stand.
The look ahead line, the opening line, and the betting splits don’t tell a straight story because the injuries to Justin Herbert and Keenan Allen. We cannot use the opening line of Chargers -2.5 and the current line of Chargers out to PLUS 3 be a sharp signal, it is an injury repricing.
Once the injuries were confirmed, the line has been bouncing between Raiders -3 and -3.5. Make sure to be able to line shop depending on the side you want. If you want the Chargers, get the Fanduel +3.5. If you want the Raiders, get the DraftKings -3. The hook is worth roughly 22c on the dollar, it is the most valuable number in NFL betting. If you only have one book, let this be the lesson to sign up for more!
The total also seems flat at 34.5, slightly more money towards the under. It is roughly the same splits to back the Raiders and the under in this game. However, the final wave of roster news will matter a lot.
The Raiders may even be leaning towards starting Jimmy G. I love backing Jimmy G led teams! While it never looks as pretty as he does, he has a dominant record as a starter. I would like a Raiders ML with Jimmy G. We are also waiting word on Maxx Crosby. Hard for me to play into the under with Crosby out and Jimmy G in. If thats the case, just give me the Raiders ML. Act quick on the news because the number will move.