NBA Best Bets Thursday January 25th
Backing multiple Favorites ATS
Quick schedule update because I totally forgot to break it down on yesterdays podcast! Next week I am traveling and out of town all week.
There will be no podcasts. Check Ball and Wednesday Slate Breakdowns will return the week of Monday February 5th. Gibby and I will also be skipping our MTV Challenge recaps for episodes 15 and 16, and will record those together after the break. Still the best show on television! If you have not tuned in thus far, now is your chance over the next 2 weeks to catch up on the season!
I am totally uncertain on if I will be able to bet and what my time capacity will be to study the board. There is a good chance I will be able to get out some plays. If I’m silent, don’t go burner your bankroll on the parlays, use the tactics I break down on The Advantage to know how to identify sharp spots and key numbers yourself!
Let’s get into tomorrow, we won again yesterday. ❤️
🏀 NBA Best Bets Thursday January 25th 🏀
76ers -4.5 (1u)
I love favorites at the -4.5 threshold because the key numbers that sit in the 5-8 range, but I will always dig deeper and make sure they are the right side to play. The 76ers are a road favorite on a 6 game win streak, last beating the Spurs where Joel MVPiid put up a dominate 70 points. They are getting strong money. They have a completely clean injury report. The Pacers are still integrating Siakem, will be without Haliburton, and come into this contest having dropped 5 of their last 6 and going the wrong direction. Give me the MVP, the hot hand, the good number and strong splits to all overcome the road favorite angle that makes me meh.
Celtics -6.5 (1u)
In a very similar vein, I like NBA favorites at -6.5 because they move onto and through the 7 which is the most important NBA number. When we obtain this movement, it is incredibly valuable on its own. With the Celtics -6.5 sitting at most books and strong handle coming on the Celtics side, its a grab now and figure it out later. The Heat are on the second leg of a B2B, likely without Jaime Jacquez, Kevin Love, and possibly Jimmy Butler. Uncertain if Terry suits up, he probably has to, but facing the Celtics with rest and no injuries is a daunting task. If we get to a point where the Heat tack on a few played to the questionable list and this line pops, strongly consider playback if you get the -6.5 and +8.5 or higher.
Wolves -4 (0.5u)
Stop me when this gets old, another road favorite, another strong number, and backing a great team going against a weak opponent. The Wolves are on the second night of a road B2B after just beating the Wizards pretty easily down the 4th Quarter. I am playing it smaller because the rest and travel angle, but the Nets have been poorly coached, lacking talent, mixing rotations, have trade rumors swirling and so much more. With a win, I think the Wolves can retake first seed in the West. I expect their top tier coach and durable depth to handle the task at hand.
Kings -1.5 (0.75u)
Road Favorite ✅. Strong Number ❌. Thats why this will be a 0.75unit play. Despite the Kings having a rest advantage with the Warriors being on the B2B, despite this being a rivalry game with almost no travel implications for the road team (its a 40 minute bus ride between arenas), playing the -1.5 and any subsequent movement from there is just less valuable. The outcomes as a 1 or 2 point game in the NBA are rare, so there becomes less incentive to bet hard and potentially play back in these spots. This should be an exciting one to watch with Draymond back in the lineup.