Apologies for the off schedule email! Last night I actually did something social and had dinner with a friend! I ended up passing out early and not getting to my normal post midnight write ups…
The people who know how hard I work during NBA season and how whack my sleep schedule is, they are celebrating the first paragraph of this email 😂😂.
Anyways, today has only one Best Bet, a simple Pelicans ATS for 1unit.
🏀 NBA Best Bet Tuesday March 19th 🏀
New Orleans Pelicans -6.5 (1u)
This is such a classic Fiddle spot. A favorite at -6.5 with the board moving to 7 is an instant key numbers grab. I also love the Pelicans play recently and have spoke glowingly about them on podcasts. The Nets are in a pseudo-tank, where they are not tanking because they have no incentive to lose (their pick goes to the Rockets), but the talent drain has been real and the team just stinks. This line is now -7 at Caesars and just moved to -8 at DraftKings.
I am still ok playing the -7 for (0.75u) on Caesars, or play the cheapest ML you can find for 1unit and bring home less return.
Talk to you guys soon!