NBA Best Bets Tuesday March 25th
Here's every bet on my card actually
I could not make it 5 straight winning days on Monday night, splitting my positions and just taking a small -0.29u in vig loss. I always say streaks take 2 days to make or break, so what is shaping up to be a strong card Tuesday could still extend this hot run I am on.
Here is every bet that I placed and released for Tuesday, along a screenshot of how it looks in the WHOP chat.
Cavs @ Blazers Under 236 (2.5u -110, Caesars)
Cavs @ Blazers Over 232.5 (1.5u -110, FanDuel)
A nice 3.5 point middle tilted towards the under for a 4u max win, a 1u tilt towards the CLV, getting in before the Donovan Mitchell news broke and brought the line to 230.5. This is a textbook AMAZING position with a fiddles middle. I got a text from two people while at the gym, ran home and got down some action here. Shoutout those two people.
Thunder @ Kings Over 227.5 (-110 Bet365, 0.5u)
It was a great number, Thunder overs have been getting popped recently which becomes a pattern recognition factor in the market. The reason to only go 0.5unit was because Kings are on a back to back here, with Sabonis coming back from an ankle injury who knew if he would play the second night. In the post game presser Sabonis was asked about being ready for tomorrow and he answered as if yes he will be ready and plan to play - and now the total is at 230.5.
Knicks ML -300 (1u RISKED to win 0.33u, Fanduel/Bet365)
My bet on this is -295 at FanDuel, but it moved within seconds of me sending it out to -310, and so I wrote in that it is still playable but I would grade the next best number on the currently. Now its at -355 because unlike Sabonis, Anthony Davis will not play on the second night of a B2B after coming back from an injury on Monday. Knicks have talent adv, home court adv, rest advantage, so give me the ML NYK. Another classic Fiddle-ism is playing 1unit on the ML, just because its -300 does not mean I have to risk 3units to win 1, or cant play it only risking 1, thats content BS not real betting. Bet good lines on repeat.
Cade Cunningham Under 45.5 Points Rebounds Assists (-110, 0.25u)
Zaccharie Risacher Over 4.5 Rebounds + Assists (-125, 0.25u)
These were props that were simply off market at good numbers, correlated with matchup angles and directional movement in totals. Shoutout BetStamp for making prop capping so easy for a market reader like myself.
Before the games start and after the game ends there is the screenshot posted of my tracker with Pending Wagers pregame and Results post game - it could not get more “transparent.”
TOMORROW AT 10AM ET I WILL BE GOING LIVE WITH PROFESSIONAL POKER PLAYER DREW JOHNSON TO BREAK DOWN THE 8 GAME NBA SLATE EVERY SIDE AND TOTAL!
A lot of these lines have obviously moved too much to still play - so while the Whop provides tremendous value for getting in early action with incredibly consistent closing line value gained on bets, the daily live stream focuses on what numbers are still playable at the current prices in the morning. If you join the whop you will two steps ahead, if you watch the show you will still be one step ahead when it comes to NBA betting.
Here is the link to the YouTube show, we look forward to seeing you tomorrow morning!
If you want to get all the picks in real-time in a locked text chat, use this Whop Picks button above to access the store page.
The cost is $100/month. HOWEVER, there is an offer for $50 back in the first month simply for leaving a review on the store page, AND you will receive an account credit for an entirely free month if we ever do have a losing month. It is as “risk-free” as any package in the sports betting space. The consistency in beating the closing line should lead to consistent results on solid volume.