NBA Futures Bets 24-25
A complete list of my preseason action
The NBA 24-25 season officially tips off TODAY! WOW! THE BOYS ARE BACK IN TOWN 🎶
Here is a complete list of my NBA Futures Bets going into this season. I will split it up a bit based on bet type and talk through a few thoughts.
Awards
Matas Buzelis Rookie Of the Year +1800
Charles Lee Coach of the Year +5000
I do not love awards betting, and thus I do not spray the board choosing multiple options in preseason in the same category. I prefer to wait it out and attack around January when the season storylines really start to cement. Lee was the coach who could come out of the gates surprising, Buzelis was knowing he slipped in the draft out of top 10, but was always projected to be a top 5 pick and even was projected #1 in look ahead draft class rankings for years. ROY usually comes from top 5, but this is a weird class, so I struck on the guy who fell into potentially a great situation. 18:1 is now down to 10:1 after a preseason with a few exciting Buzelis flashes.
NBA Title
Philidelphia 76ers NBA Title +1600
LA Lakers NBA Title +4000
I avoid playoff betting before the season even starts as so much can change - except if we can forecast the change and key in on teams who are being designed for a playoff run. The Sixers had the cap space lined up to sign someone when I placed the bet, and ended up landing Paul George. I actually wrote in the whop package- “I dont expect it to be Paul George, but I trust Daryl Morey to remain flexible and fill the space before the deadline.” Welp, I got lucky and the Sixers got PG13.
Win Totals
Suns Pacific Division Winner +245
Phoenix Suns Over 46.5 Wins -115
Toronto Raptors Under 31.5 Wins -115
Golden State Warriors Over 42.5 Wins -115
Milwaukee Bucks Under 50.5 Wins +105
Dallas Mavericks Ov 49.5 Wins +104
Atlanta Hawks Ov 35.5 Wins -115
LA Lakers Ov 42.5 Wins -115
Utah Jazz Un 29.5 Wins -125
Sacramento Kings Under 47.5 -120
Preseason win totals are my favorite market to cap. Why?! Because they have the lowest hold in the futures department, and remain available for betting throughout the season. Bettors always have outs, ability to open middles, dump off tickets, or more with the market staying available. 9/10 of these win totals are currently ahead of the market, with Lakers remaining at 42.5, thats fucking dominant.
Player Props
Jokic Under 9.3 Assists -110
Bam Adebayo Un 10.0 Rebounds -110
Buddy Hield Under 2.8 3Pts -110
Devin Booker Under 6.8 Assists -130
Jusuf Nurkic Under 10.3 Rebounds -110
LaMelo Ball 3sMade Leader+5000
LaMelo Ball Ov 6 Rebounds Per Game+185
LaMelo Ball Ov 7 Rebounds Per Game+700
In the last 2 seasons, I have absolutely dominated targeting play prop averages. It is not normally a market I attack because there is less information, less books pricing these lines to compare, less movement to track. However, the results have been too strong to ignore, and thus I happily reentered in quite a few spots. Jokic Under 9.3 assist is still available, now at -115, and clearly a play still at Draftkings. Nuggets are going to play him less minutes in the late season, and they have less catch and shoot players. This number is a few ticks too high, I expect his average to come in sub 9. Bam Under 10 rebounds is because he is shooting more 3s and rookie first round pick for Miami Kael Ware seems very promising. If Bam is not exclusively a center, it will be tough for him to crack 10 boards per. Booker assist already theoretically cashed after Tyus Jones was signed 😂
If you want access to all of my picks in real time- sign up for the Whop! I am up 6.76units during the month of October thus far from exclusively betting WNBA/NFL. Now that NBA is here, the volume starts to turn up! If you are watching the live shows, having the picks given out hours before will give you a huge advantage.
TODAYS LIVE SHOW AT 12PM ET COVERS NBA TUESDAY GAMES. I am joined again by professional poker player Drew Johnson to break down market moves and best bets for the two game slate.