NFL Week 10 Full Betting and DFS Card
As we reach Week 10 in the NFL, the betting trend you will notice in my plays is a reduction of bet volume, and ramping up on unit exposure. The reason is because the market is going to be very sharp with a lot of active season data in use, and a lot of teams still in flux without their playoff chances settled. So if we beat the market in these spots, relative to our key numbers, they should be more valuable than early season. But the movements will be less erratic, so I don’t spray the board nearly as much.
The three best bets remain the same, but I am very likely to add one more. Below is the graphic for the bets placed, as well as the DFS players I have my eyes on. However, there is one bet I am very likely to add but I haven’t submitted it yet is the Ravens ML. So I’ll add a write up for that in case you want to tail. This is more than a lean, I plan to play it, I’m just thinking there may be buyback on the Browns +6.5 tomorrow which gets me a better Ravens number.
Ravens ML -278
Its not only a sharp spot getting the right story in the splits and the right side of the movement, but also all my football people I trust say this is a clear Ravens week. I am likely playing the ML-278 on BetRivers is the bet price currently avail. Its a divisional game with Watson healthy, so I love the play but not sure I want to lay the points. I would play 1u risk for a small return.