SWEEPING THE HATERS AWAY
6-0 Tuesday, here are all my Wednesday bets
The last 2 nights the newsletter has sent out our full betting card, along with a screenshot of what the direct picks chat in the whop looks like with those releases already given out. The result of the new cadence has been +3u on Tuesday and a 6-0, +3.75u Wednesday. Despite being highly numbers driven and analytical, we believe in the gambling karma over here at team Advantage, so of course let’s do the exact same thing. Obviously some of these positions have moved (thats the value of the whop chat), but hopefully still seeing the direction helps you decide what to place.
Here is what the Direct Picks Chat in our Whop looks like, showing the releases for Thursday’s games as well as a quick breakdown of why we took these positions. Information on joining this chat are at the bottom of the newsletter.
Hawks @ Heat Under 229 (0.5u) (Now 227)
The Heat have fallen all the way down to the bottom of the league in PACE since the Butler trade and this latest round of injuries. These teams also operate in the same division meaning they have historically played each other more often, therefore we expect the defensive schemes to be on point. Both squads are also missing key offensive options.
Mavericks +8/Moneyline (Now +6.5)
Anthony Davis should be active for this one, and he will be the best player on the floor if that's the case. Mavs have shown some life even without his presence in recent games as well. he odds were simply too long on this one, and the market shifted towards the Mavericks almost immediately following our plays.
Spurs @ Cavs Over 236 (Now 239)
No-brainer play with the pace the Cavs have shown all-season and the Spurs being a sieve on the defensive end following the Wemby injury. Spurs were an over team with Wemby and are even more of one without him. This will close in the 240 range I think.
Spurs @ Cavs 1u MIDDLE of CLE -12.5 (1.5u)/Spurs +14.5 (1u) w/ .5u tilt on Cavs
A simple middle spot that we've tilted to the Cavs side due to their reliability of covering longer spreads, at home, with coaching advantage and a big talent gap. as well as the Cavs winning the talent battle against the current Spurs on both ends of the floor by a wide margin.
Yesterday’s show was not only one of the best slate breakdown’s we have ever done, everything just flowed so well in our discussion with a very lively comment section, we also had one of our first ever haters ‘FreeGiftFromGod’ in the chat. I was pointing out to Drew that Nuggets -6 was a signal either Giannis was out or Jokic was in, and unsure which it was. The line move from Nuggets -2.5 to Nuggets -6 made no sense if we assumed the injury report of Giannis as Questionable would be active and Jokic as Doubtful would miss the game. He is repeatedly commenting in Jokic is out we have no idea what we are talking about, the lines moves don’t indicate anything, and then subsequently came back to the YouTube stream later in the day and commented on the video again that we cant read lines or injury reports and he would see us in the morning. I’m being kind in my recap.
Giannis would be ruled OUT, Jokic was ruled IN, the line closed Denver -12, Nuggets won and covered the number I had, and we swept the night 6-0… Do we think he still shows up in the morning? I genuinely hope not, I’d rather just not have that kind of toxic energy. Someone specifically planning to “hate watch” is stupid - he should do anything else productive with his time - meanwhile we’re on a ridiculous heater, +12units in the last week, today +3.75u on a 6-0 sweep. Poor timing.
Regardless of some slight negative energy - which in reality is just an inevitable effect of so much growth of the show - it is bound to not resonate with some or catch people during bad times for them and that’s ok, Drew and I are back for another 10am ET slate breakdown reviewing every side and total currently in the market, reviewing our plays and why, touching up on some props as well. Come join us with this link below - of course if you can’t catch us live at 10am ET you can use the same link later in the day to watch or check out the audio podcast feed linked above.
If you want to get all the picks in real-time in a locked text chat, use this Whop Picks button above to access the store page.
The cost is $100/month. HOWEVER, there is an offer for $50 back in the first month simply for leaving a review on the store page, AND you will receive an account credit for an entirely free month if we ever do have a losing month. It is as “risk-free” as any package in the sports betting space. The consistency in beating the closing line should lead to consistent results on solid volume.
We are +10.5units in March, +13.3u February, +18.8u January, +51.6u since the beginning of December. Everything tracked, time stamped, posted with pregame pending wagers and post game graded wagers every single night.
There is a Direct Picks Chat for all the graded official plays which is a one way locked group where only I can type. This keeps it clean and organized for tailing purposes.
There is also a Community Chat for anyone to talk about anything. They are currently celebrating Birthdays, talking beers, and tennis bets.
