The Advantage NBA Show at 10am ET Monday
As Kevin Durant once said, “You learn more from losing than winning. You learn how to keep going.”
And after a strong run +6units in the last 4 days, the WHOP finally cooled off with a -1.375 unit night. The Cavs? Let’s just say they no-showed when it mattered most. But that’s how it goes sometimes when Lebron isn’t being a closer in Cleveland anymore.
Also, in his unforgettable MVP speech, KD said, “You made us believe... You’re the real MVP.” On Mother’s Day, it feels especially right to say that wins come and go, but the real value is in the process, the lessons we pick up in the losses, and the ride that we’re all on together.
We reload, we move, and we’ve already got our eyes on tomorrow’s slate. Here’s what we’ve got locked in.
Game 4: BOS Celtics -5.5 / Over 208.5
Both plays are for half a unit, as these markets get sharper with each game in the series. The line currently sits at -6.5 / 209.5, and our model has it nearly spot-on at 209.9. Boston finally looks like it’s found its groove from deep. If you're looking for a potential angle, the Boston Team Total Over 107.5 is worth a long, hard look as an actionable add.
Game 5: Fiddles Middle placed!
Nuggets @ Thunder Over 219.5 (2.25 units) / Under 222.5 (1.5 units)
Tilted to the Over as the main position, as indicated by the market signals. The Nuggets have made their M.O. clear in their home games: slow the pace, grind it out, and control the tempo. Letting the Thunder dictate pace again—especially against the youngest, most energetic team in the league—was always going to take a toll. Denver simply couldn’t keep up.
The Advantage Pod Returns Monday Morning!
We’ve got two Game 4s and two Game 5s on deck, and we’re going live at 10 PM EST to break it all down—sides, totals, sharp angles, and the basketball context behind every play. Tap in, leave a comment, and don’t forget to like the LIVE video on our YouTube channel.
If you want to get all the picks in real-time in a locked text chat, use this Whop Picks button above to access the store page.
The cost is $100/month. HOWEVER, there is an offer for $50 back in the first month simply for leaving a review on the store page, AND you will receive an account credit for an entirely free month if we ever do have a losing month. It is as “risk-free” as any package in the sports betting space. The consistency in beating the closing line should lead to consistent results on solid volume.
*This newsletter was written by Ian Toria