The Easiest Sweep Of All Time
4-0 without a drip of sweat
A clean 4-0 sweep betting the NBA Playoffs tonight. It was the easiest 4-0 sweep I can possibly remember. Quick description of what happened, into some props for tomorrow Warriors @ Wolves, and opening bets for Game 3 of Celtics @ Knicks and OKC @ Denver. Let’s go!
1. Knicks @ Celtics Under 211.5 (0.5u): There are 5 total points scored in the first 3 minutes, it is 3-2 Knicks with 9 minutes left in the 1Q. That’s already over 7 points under the expected pace within minutes, and it only got worse. Cashed by this game landing 30.5 points below the line I had. Another Knicks/Celtics under, another situation where not even overtime would have been a problem.
2. Jayson Tatum Un 44.5 PRA (0.25u): He ended with 32 PRA, it was never close. He had like 9 points entering the 4th, Tatum was OFF tonight (5-19 shooting), and I was there to enjoy. Derrick White for ECF MVP when they get there lol (this isnt betting advice… yet?).
3. OKC Thunder -10.5 (0.75u): Ok this one was worrisome at one point… Nuggets were up 2-0 to start the game. Then 1 minute later it was OKC 9-2 and the live line was in the clear of my number for then on out.
4. Denver @ OKC Over 229.5 (0.75u): Continuing from above, at 9-2 it was a sweaty moment 1 point behind the pace I needed. 1 minute later it was 13-7 OKC ahead, and the live total was never below 229.5 again for the rest of the game.
The Knicks/Celtics game there was not a single second I was behind the live lines, in OKC/Denver it lasted 3 minutes before there was no concern again.
Hit the Staples button… “That was easy!”
Ok Warriors @ Wolves: I think the side and total are both pretty perfectly priced to the point where any bet might instantly be -EV. A perfect price means its a true 50/50 to both side, and paying -110 and betting into 52.38% implied probability is probably a losing effort. There were a few props across a myriad of sportsbooks I found as viable, here they are. If you only have 1-2 of these lines, feel free to put a bit more exposure on it than I did. Using the BetStamp Pro Props tool I feature on the live streams, these were all +EV props worth attacking.
1. Jimmy Butler Under 7.5 Reb (-145 Bet365, -150 MGM, +114 DK on 6.5 is fine too, 0.3u risked).
2. Jonathan Kuminga Over 0.5 Blocks (+260 Bet365, +200ESPNBet, I dont see this anywhere else, 0.2u)
3. Jonathan Kuminga Under 7.5 Points (+100 EPSNBet, 0.25u)
4. Draymond Green Triple Double +5500 (0.05u FanDuel)
5. Julius Randle Triple Double +6500 (0.05u FanDuel or DraftKings)
I also already bet opening lines for both Celtics @ Knicks Game 3 and OKC Thunder @ Denver Nuggets game 3. I got Celtics -4.5 (3u) and Thunder -4.5 (1u). I am considering an under in the Thunder @ Denver spot at 234.5/233.5, but I have not done anything yet!
I will be doing another live stream likely TOMORROW NIGHT AFTER WARRIORS @ WOLVES AT 11PM ET to do a full breakdown of every game 3, evaluating each venue change as home court switches. You can find that video on The Advantage Sports Betting Show Youtube Channel.
If you want to get all the picks in real-time in a locked text chat (like Celtics -4.5, 3u for G3), use this Whop Picks button below to access the store page.
The cost is $100/month. HOWEVER, there is an offer for 2 free weeks added simply for leaving a review on the store page, AND you will receive an account credit for an entirely free month if we ever do have a losing month. It is as “risk-free” as any package in the sports betting space. The consistency in beating the closing line should lead to consistent results on solid volume.
+57units NBA Season to Date after tonight’s sweep! You can see tonight I had 4 plays for +2.25u, all the props tomorrow are tiny exposure, it’s a rare great spot to have Celtics -4.5 (3u) upcoming!