A monster +7u Saturday is just what the doctor ordered!! Especially considering Sundays have been an abject disaster in recent weeks ππ. I actually love the board across NFL and NBA for Sunday, so letβs break it all down and get back to Sunday Fundays.
π NBA Best Bets Sunday November 26th π
Nets -3 (3u)
You can even go more on this if you are comfortable, have multiple books to line shop, have time to keep eyes on it and play it back accordingly. But the Nets looked GOOD today, taking care of a hurting Heat team with ease. Now they get the Bulls who seem to be dismantling infront of our eyes, with Caruso and Lavine both very questionable. Considering those are prime trade candidates for the Bulls to reposition, I expect them both to sit and hit the buyback appropriately when its time.
Raptors +4 (0.75) & Raptors +1.5 (1.25u) - total 2u
I originally bet Raps +4 because I saw the massive sharp steam on it, without really knowing much else. Then I come to learn that Darius Garland got hurt, and Donovan Mitchell left the game missing. I am expecting both out tomorrow, especially Mitchell being the second leg of a B2B and returning from a hamstring injury but cramping late in the first game. Iβll be shocked if hes out there. I bet it again at 1.5 and have no plans for a playback if those guys are out.
Celtics/Hawks Ov 233.5 (5u)
Incredibly mispriced line that Fanduel and BetMGM through up. The rest of the board sat at 235 in a Hawks/Celtics game that should be shooting and scoring. This line should tick up close to or north of 237 and have some buyback chance. The only reason not to 10unit this and plan a 7u playback was because the Hawks are on the second leg of a road B2B and could rest someone, or could be without Jalen Johnson to make it tick a bit down since he plays with so much pace.
Hornets +6.5 (0.75u)
I noticed some sharp action on the Hornets, and I am not yet sold on the Magic. I feel the Hornets actually match up very well with the Magic, having guys like Hayward/Washington/Bridges to face up with the big wings the magic have, and the Hornets have length at the guard positions too. The Magic have been defensive monsters with length, the Hornets can combat that with offensive focused length. Look for this to go either way, and the 6.5 was simply too high.
π NFL Week 12 Best Bets π
Patriots ML -190 (1u to win 0.5)
The Battle of the dreadful teams comes to the meadowlands when the Giants and Pats face off. Despite the terrible seasons both are having, the Pats are still lightyears more talented and better coached. There is reverse line movement happening with 3.5s turning to 4s. The number is gross to play a road favorite -3.5 and die by the hook, so just give me the ML. 1u risked for slightly more than 0.5u return.
Bucs +8.5/Chiefs -2.5 Teaser (-120, 1.2u to win 1)
Week 12 is the week of Stanford Wong Teaser Legs! There are so many! I am going to put a teaser guide up on my twitter today, so check that out, but feel free to pair as many others as you want together! This one is still active and available, I have a bunch more going but the lines have moved a bit. This is my favorite given the current lines.
Bears/Vikings Ov 44.5 (-110, 1.1u to win 1)
This one has moved against me with -CLV! But I honestly dont understand it and still like my spot. This Monday night game will be inside a dome between two mobile QBs who play in high scoring games. The Vikings defense has been way better than expected, but they are incredibly blitz heavy and maybe Fields can escape some pressure for big plays. I definitely like the over 43.5 currently, considering how important 44 is!
Good luck! Enjoy your Sunday!
Deep insights as usual. Do you have a core four this week?