First Bets of Week 2 & CHRIS OLAVE ROOKIE CARD GIVEAWAY

The Sunday Week 1 slate was dominant for us. The plays I sent out this morning went 7-2, +8.15units. I will do a full stats recap on Wednesdays email, including Thursday’s Chiefs loss 🥲, the few prop bets I gave out, and our pending Jets/Bills 1H Under 23.5 for Monday Night Football.

But we have Week 2 things to start taking care of!

🚨 OUR WEEK 2 FREE GIVEAWAY IS A CHRIS OLAVE ROOKIE CARD 🚨

To Enter the giveaway, simply comment on this post! That easy. I’m not asking you to Like/Tag 3 Friends/Follow these people blah blah blah. Nope, just drop a comment and you’ll be entered. Let me know how you did in Week 1, or let me know which game you are most looking forward to for Week 2.

We also have Week 2 betting lines posted. Lets dive into those!

Falcons +1.5 (-120, 1u FanDuel)
I will be riding with the Atlanta Falcons a lot this season. I am on their win total over, make the playoff odds, division winning odds, and took them ATS in week 1 which cashed. We go back to the well here. Falcons are a home dog against a Packers team which is also getting lots of love from sharp and smart bettors. However, Packers played against a Bears team which is a public darling and likely massively overrated. I was more impressed with the Falcons win over the Panthers than I was the Packers bringing the house down in Chicago.

I have eyes on the over for this game and will consider playing over 41.5. Two great offensive lines generally keeps the ball moving.

Bengals -3 (-110, 1u DraftKings)
The bengals were incredibly underwhelming, but that wont scare me away from backing them in week 2. They played in the rain, facing a road division opponent who has played them very well. Now they are the home team in divisional game, and although the ravens came out ahead, I was not too excited by what I saw vs the Texans. Feels like a public spot to grab Baltimore +3, i expect a lot of volume on that side, but not a lot of money. It will stay at 3 and invite all the Ravens money. Let’s give them Bengals money.

Jaguars +3 (-115, 1.5u Fanduel)
I already saw this move to 2.5 at DraftKings which was an instant indicator to grab the +3 where it was available and play it more heavily. I plan to buyback a portion of the -2.5, tilt my exposure towards the home underdog vs the Chiefs who seem to be Mahomes and a bunch of missing pieces.

Browns -1 (-110, 0.5u DraftKings)
Browns at Steelers Un 42.5 (-110, 1.5u DraftKings)
The Browns looked great in an ugly situational game vs the Bengals. It was smash mouth on the line football, and they will play a similar style vs Pittsburgh this coming week. I am hesitant to back the road favorite vs Tomlin, so its a small play on the Browns spread, but a big play on the under because we are north of the 41 and 40 key numbers, and I expect this run heavy game to trend downwards.

Jets at Cowboys Under 46 (-110, 1unit DraftKings)
Wow that cowboys D was impressive! I actually submitted this bet before that game started, so I expect it to look even better now. These are two defense first run teams disguised as over teams with good quarterbacks. I look forward to playing plenty of Cowboys and Jets unders, now we get them paired up, what a dream for no scoring. Knowing I was on the under for the week 1 Jets and Cowboys individually allowed me to feel comfortable playing this as a week ahead line before either of their Week 1 games started.

Giants at Cardinals Under 39 (-110, 1u Draftkings)
Both of these teams are going to struggle to score mightily this season with the lack of weapons. Both offensive lines were a disaster in week 1. The key number here is between 38 and 40, I saw 38.5 pop up on the board at Fanduel, so I grabbed the under 39 at DraftKings and figured I knew which direction it was trending.

Saints at Panthers Under 40.5 (-110, 0.5u DraftKings)
Saints defense, predictably, looks amazing. Panthers offense, predictably, looks troublesome. Knowing the key number here was between 40 and 41, I thought very little chance this climbs north and let me get the positive side of the hook with the 40. This was a small play because of week 2 scoring bouncebacks that we often see in the NFL. I thought if any line were to trend the wrong way, it could be this one.

Broncos ML (-175, 1unit to win 0.57u, DraftKings)
While the Commanders got the win against Arizona, they struggled to do so while at home and will be without Chase Young, their star defender, for multiple weeks. The Broncos on the other hand had some questionable players end up out, and barely lost to a divisional opponent. At home this week against the Commanders feels secure for Sean Paytons first win. I played the ML instead of the spread because it was at -3.5, I did not think it would get down to 3, and I wanted to have the key number without buying an overpriced insurance hook. Instead play the fairly priced money line.

Eagles -6 (-112, 1.25unit FanDuel/Caesars)
This line is stale, not currently available, never will be available again, and I feel bad giving it here but since I want to have everything together I will include it. I bet this game also on June 18th when I placed Week 1 bets. I knew it was the short week Thursday Night Football game, I knew how those trend toward the home team with travel advantage, I knew the Eagles and Vikings met last season and the Eagles dominated, I knew i was fading the Viking this season. Now it sits at Eagles -8, and I think it makes for a great Wong Teaser leg to bring this down to Eagles -2 and pair it with another line. We will go through all teaser leg options on the week 2 slate breakdown podcast Tuesday.

Coming this Week:
Tuesday: Week 2 Slate Breakdown & DFS Spend Ups Podcast
Wednesday: Market Review Email
Thursday: TNF DFS Showdown Preview Podcast
Friday: DFS Value Options Podcast
Saturday: Core 4 Podcast
Sunday: Final Betting Card Email

We will be rocking like this ALL SEASON LONG. LETS GO!