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Chadi Moussawi's avatar

I caught the line -4.5/-111 do you play back as part of your strategy? As the line pushed to -5.5 currently or you play it straight? Im mostly curious about the process when playing such a high stake game

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Michael Fiddle's avatar

im playing 4.5 high because i have a very strong sense i will be able to play it back. depending on the numbers you get, playing it back is valuable. depending on the closing line, letting the -4.5 ride is valuable. When I see a strong set up to do both, I go big and play like 50-70% back, so I am still tilted towards the -4.5 line

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Chadi Moussawi's avatar

Thanks for explaining how you think about it. How do you define the strong set up, its about how the line moves or how the % bets/ % money in the market shifts, assuming the news regarding the match doesnt change. Eg i bet minny -4.5/-110. Now the market shifted +5.5/-117 Orlando. So im thinking about playing it back, which could be valuable. But it is first time playing such a strategy so curious how the Pros like you do it:) much appreciated and looking forward to your content🙏

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Michael Fiddle's avatar

Strong meant i had indicators it would move a bit and relative to valuable numbers. 5 is the second most common NBA outcome, so having that number as a middle spot was good. I am hoping it gets to 6, but regardless I will be playing back a 50-75% my original 10units on the the Magic side to open some middle but tilt towards wolves.

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