The Tuesday NBA board presents two plays I really like, and the rest of the board feels like a stay away. Let’s get into them…
🏀 NBA Best Bets Tuesday January 9th 🏀
Timberwolves -4.5 (a lot of units)
I spy a bad line! The Timberwolves are the very clear sharp side on Tuesday, and this is setting up as a slam spot on the 4.5 (currently available at BetMGM and BetRivers). They are taking 50% of the bets but over 80% of the money and the number is moving from 4.5 to 5 most places. We have the importance of the 4.5 because of 7/5/6/8 being the 4 most common NBA outcomes. We have injuries mounting on the Orlando side, and a clean report on the Wolves side. Despite this being a road game, this line should reach around 6 or 6.5.
Depending on your ability to line shop the play back, and the flexibility of your schedule to watch the board and keep eyes for the timing, this is a play 10units if you are comfortable. Play 5 if you just have this line and not much time. Play 8 if you are middling in your conviction.
Dallas -320 ML (3.2u to win 1)
There is a trend in NBA games that when a star player gets injured, the rest of the team over preforms in the first game without him, and then falls flat back to earth in the second. With Ja Morant announced done for the season, and with Memphis coming off of a Ja-less win over KD and the Suns, I think the Grizzlies get walked in this one by the home and healthy Mavericks. The spread number is deep and opens the possibility for a back door meaningless cover, but I’ll increase my usual risk and hit the ML hard.
🏀🏀 Please be sure to check out my new NBA podcast, Check Ball, released Monday on The Advantage Sports Betting Podcast Feed. 🏀🏀
I caught the line -4.5/-111 do you play back as part of your strategy? As the line pushed to -5.5 currently or you play it straight? Im mostly curious about the process when playing such a high stake game